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Today's conviction stream · people putting skin in the game
Alice Liu
Alice Liu2h ago· Accountability
Product Lead @ Stripe · Ex-Google · Writing about AI products
I will publish one blog post every week for the next 12 weeks. Putting this here so you all hold me accountable.
WritingConsistencyPersonal growth
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24 replies · 132 believers
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Raj Kapoor
Raj Kapoor5h ago· Prediction
GP @ Radical Ventures · Former VP Eng @ Meta · AI Infrastructure
By 2028, at least one major browser will ship with an AI-native agent as the default way to navigate the web.
Resolve by Dec 31, 2028AgentsBrowsers
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Pool: $12,400 · 89 predictors
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Maya Singh
Maya Singh1d ago· Fundraising
Founder @ LearnAI · Stanford CS '22 · YC W24
Building a "personal research analyst" agent for students that will 10× how people learn. Raising $50k from early believers.
Target: $50,00018 investorsAI learning tools
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$17,400 committed · Close in 9 days
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James Wilson
James Wilson3h ago· Accountability
Indie Hacker · 3x Founder · Building in public
I will launch my SaaS product and get to $5k MRR by March 2025. Putting this here for accountability.
SaaSAccountabilityIndie hacker
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12 replies · 67 believers
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Elena Rodriguez
Elena Rodriguez8h ago· Prediction
Research Scientist @ DeepMind · PhD MIT · AGI safety
OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product (not just software) by end of 2025.
Resolve by Dec 31, 2025AIHardware
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Pool: $8,900 · 156 predictors
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Tom Anderson
Tom Anderson4h ago· Fundraising
Founder @ LegalAI · Harvard Law '19 · Ex-Latham & Watkins
Building an AI-powered legal document analyzer for startups. Raising $100k to ship MVP and onboard first 50 customers.
Target: $100,00012 investorsLegal tech
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$34,000 committed · Close in 14 days
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Priya Patel
Priya Patel6h ago· Accountability
Software Engineer @ Vercel · UC Berkeley CS '23 · Open source contributor
I will complete a 30-day coding challenge and ship one micro-SaaS product by end of November.
Coding challengeShippingMicro-SaaS
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8 replies · 45 believers
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Michael Torres
Michael Torres12h ago· Prediction
Robotics Engineer @ Boston Dynamics · Carnegie Mellon PhD
Tesla will announce a humanoid robot for home use priced under $20k by 2026.
Resolve by Dec 31, 2026RoboticsConsumer
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Pool: $5,600 · 78 predictors
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